It looks like an active week for rainfall over parts of the Southeast U.S. The focus of action will be a nearly-stationary frontal boundary draped over North Carolina.
Areas of high pressure to the north and over the Gulf of Mexico will provide a contracting boundary between drier air (to the north) and very moist air (to the south).

Repeated occurrences of showers and thunderstorms are likely near this frontal boundary. I’ve indicated in green the area most likely to receive significant rain over the next 5 days.

Thunderstorms will be most likely when lift is enhanced. This will tend to occur when an area of low pressure moves along the front as well as during times of peak afternoon and evening heating.

Rainfall amounts will also be enhanced over higher elevations of the western Carolinas and Virginia.

I’ll provide additional updates on this area throughout the week as rainfall could be prolonged due to “training” of individual thunderstorms as well as a continued feeding of deep-seeded moisture.

South of the front, including central and southern Alabama and Georgia rainfall will be much more scattered in coverage and tied to late day and early evening heating.